Bali Real Estate Growth 2026: Infrastructure Projects and Projections

A few years ago in Bali, investment decisions were often made on instinct:
“Does it have an ocean view?” “Is it close to Canggu?”
Today, those questions are no longer enough.
Infrastructure (and everything it represents) has become the new starting point for understanding where the island’s real value is heading.
And here, we’ll tell you everything about this shift.
What We’ve Seen in Recent Years
Across international investments, one pattern keeps repeating itself: many still see Bali as a tropical paradise, but few analyze it as an ecosystem in transformation.
Every new road, every hospital or international school project, completely reshapes the land value around it and we see it happening in real time.
For example, when the access roads between Canggu and Seseh were expanded, some plots rose from US $300 per square meter to over US $500 in less than two years.
That wasn’t coincidence. It was infrastructure.
And the same story unfolds with every new development axis:
- Pererenan and Kedungu, boosted by their proximity to the new coastal access routes.
- Buleleng and Amed, once considered “too remote,” are now emerging as the next residential areas with real potential for appreciation.
From Airports to Opportunity
And that’s not all.
When we heard that the government planned to expand Ngurah Rai International Airport and build a second airport in North Bali, the first thing that came to mind was:
“This isn’t just tourism, it’s economic flow.”
More flights mean more temporary residents, more operators, more logistics and that translates into sustained demand for housing and rentals.
How It’s Reflecting on Property Prices
Between 2021 and 2024, average land values in Bali increased by more than 50 %, according to Neginski Real Estate Insights (2025).
Most of the projects that appreciated the most have one thing in common:
they’re not necessarily “in the center,” but where development is arriving.
This is the moment when “affordable” areas stop being affordable and “trendy” areas start to feel crowded.
We often tell our clients:
“Investing in Bali isn’t about looking at today’s map, but at the one that’s still being drawn.”
What’s Ahead: 2026 to 2030
Our projections are supported by the trends we observe on the ground:
- 2026–2027: consolidation of Seseh, Pererenan, and Kedungu; expected growth of 10–15 % annually.
- 2028–2029: expansion across Buleleng and the northern regions; investors who arrive before the new airport opens will likely see the best returns.
- 2030: a more mature market with selective appreciation; projects with strong management, good connectivity, and a sustainable approach will continue to outperform (6–10 % annually).
This isn’t a bubble, it’s a rebalancing.
Value no longer depends only on the view; it depends on how accessible, functional, and livable that view is.
Not Everything That Shines…
Let’s be realistic. The local government has already begun restricting permits for new hotels and villas in saturated areas like Canggu and Seminyak (Reuters, 2024).
That may slow short-term growth, but in the long term it’s good news: it helps stabilize the market and protects the island’s value.
And as we like to remind our clients:
“The best investment isn’t the fastest one, it’s the most sustainable.”
Infrastructure Today, Value Tomorrow
Bali is evolving from a tourism-driven economy into a residential and investment economy. Infrastructure is the invisible foundation of that transformation.
When we see a new road being paved or a fiber tower rising, we don’t just think about convenience we think about future value.
And if there’s one thing we’ve learned over the years, it’s that those who understand this early are the ones who capitalize later.

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